Soon after the midterm elections, we began our regular process of evaluating how FiveThirtyEight’s forecasts performed. We quickly discovered an error: We were...
Category - News
While most people perceived the economy as a more pressing concern generally, abortion was a motivating issue for a substantial number of voters. Erin Lefevre...
PHOTO ILLUSTRATION BY FIVETHIRTYEIGHT / GETTY IMAGES Welcome to Pollapalooza, our weekly polling roundup. As the dust settles on a vast majority of last...
Rebecca Cook / Reuters Abortion bans, right-to-work laws, voting restrictions — for years, a lot of the major legislation coming out of state capitols has been...
As expected, Republicans have taken control of the U.S. House of Representatives, ending two years of Democratic rule in Washington, D.C. But what wasn’t...
On Tuesday night, former President Donald Trump announced his plans to run for president in 2024. And while he has kept a tight grip on the GOP since 2016, his...
Rep. Lauren Boebert wasn’t expected to face such a tight reelection battle in Colorado’s 3rd District. RJ Sangosti / MediaNews Group / The Denver Post via...
GIORGIO VIERA / AFP via Getty Images The case for Donald Trump as the front-runner for the 2024 Republican nomination is incredibly obvious. As my colleague...
2022 Election And the number of women in Congress will likely hold steady. Democrat Katie Hobbs of Arizona will be one of 12 female governors serving next year...
FiveThirtyEight On Tuesday night, former President Donald Trump announced his plans to run for president in 2024. And while he has kept a tight grip on the GOP...